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Factors for PPP project success in developing countries

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This research suggested that for a developing country exhibiting political risk to successfully deliver their PPP project pipeline to ensure the contagion effect on their economy, that the relative importance of factors characterizing the institutional environment is assessed in relation to other GSRs identified by previous academic research. The purpose of this research was to determine, by means of an empirical comparison, whether a developing country exhibiting some degree of political risk would place a similar level of importance on institutional factors compared to other CSPs for PPP -projects identified and rated in literature for other contexts. I further declare that I have obtained the necessary authorization and permission to conduct this research.

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It raises the question of why there has been greater investment in PPP projects in developed countries versus less developed countries. These examples provide evidence that there is indeed an appetite for PPP projects in developed countries, albeit less so than in more developed countries. The objective of this research was to determine whether a developing country exhibiting political risk would perceive a similar level of importance to the factors that characterize their institutional environment (political, legal and economic factors) when compared to that of other CSFs both social and technical factors for PPP Projects.

Literature review

Hwang et al., (2013) used a comprehensive literature content analysis and an empirical survey to identify CSF and PPP risks for PPP projects within Singapore, before classifying them by macro (country or policy) , meso (inter-organizational) and micro (intra-organizational) levels of application. In contrast, Matos-Castaño et al., (2014) based their research on sociology and organizational theory further developing the work of North, (1990) and conducted a comparative analysis to examine the path dependence of PPP institutional change in The Netherlands (a developed country) and India (a developing nation). Matos-Castaño et al., (2014) highlighted that poor PPP project results are symptomatic of gaps in the institutional environment.

Research questions

The empirical research assessed and ranked was compared with recent academic articles which were used to inform the compiled list of CSFs and had been assessed and ranked in the respective studies.

Research methodology

First, a comprehensive list of PPP projects was determined that would later inform the quantitative analysis. All articles that identified CSFs for PPP project success and assessed their perceived importance within their specific context and to inform the respective respective research questions were selected. Bibliographic linkage of the GSRs identified in these articles was then undertaken to determine a comprehensive list of GSRs for PPP projects.

Analyse the perceived importance of CSFs in a developing country

Thus a deductive approach was followed for this research, where the literature review and theory informed the research questions focusing on the CSFs of a PPP project for developing countries (Saunders & Lewis, 2012).

Compile a comprehensive list of PPP project CSFs: Comprehensive

The developing countries highlighted under the country classification formed the population of all developing countries that undertook PPP projects. South African PPP projects have financially closed the Inkosi Albert Luthuli Hospital for the Kwa-Zulu Natal Department of Health. Direct relationships existed with the independent transaction advisors involved in eight of the South African PPP projects in the sampling frame.

Table 1: Population  of countries with formal PPP frameworks undertaking PPP projects  Region  Country  undertaking
Table 1: Population of countries with formal PPP frameworks undertaking PPP projects Region Country undertaking

Compile a comprehensive list of PPP project CSFs: Qualitative analysis

Descriptive statistics were first undertaken to determine the perceived level of importance assessed as the time of the survey by the respondents. The seven-point Likert scale was used to determine the descriptive statistics of the measurement results, including the arithmetic mean, standard deviation, and range of the ratings. The means of the perceived importance of the CSFs assessed at the time of study completion informed the determination of the relative rankings.

The first was to compare the relative ranking of CSFs describing the institutional environment versus non-institutional factors within the sample of developing countries. Second, these relative rankings enabled cross-comparison of the relative factor rankings for the CSFs identified in the articles from. Spearman's rank correlation coefficient measured the level of agreement of the relative ranking of CSFs between the respondent sample relevant to a developing country exhibiting political risk, and each of the author's previously ranked CSFs.

A limitation of the sampling method was that the subject selection and resulting sampling bias of the purposive heterogeneous sampling method could have led to the question of external validity. A further limitation to the applied sampling method was that the snowball sampling method may lead to the validity and reliability of the study being questioned (Saunders & Lewis, 2012). Significant limitations of this research, which cannot be easily mitigated through proper study construction, primarily included subject and researcher biases (Saunders & Lewis, 2012).

The personal bias of the researcher as being native to South Africa was also noted as a potential influence on the interpretation of the results.

Table 5: Seven-point Likert scale used to assess the perceived importance of the PPP  project CSFs
Table 5: Seven-point Likert scale used to assess the perceived importance of the PPP project CSFs

Results

Compile a comprehensive list of PPP project CSFs

Data collection for Phase 1 involved a comprehensive literature review that informed the compilation of the comprehensive list of PPP project CSFs. An empirical research questionnaire survey, informed by the list of PPP project CSFs, was distributed after a pilot study via an online survey to assess the perceived importance of these PPP project CSFs in developing countries. The pilot study was conducted to assess the adequacy and comprehensiveness of the questionnaire survey (Saunders & Lewis, 2012).

Most of the questionnaire was of the rating type, using a seven-point Likert scale to assess the respondent's perception of the importance of the validated CSFs for PPP. This was mitigated by sampling the questionnaire respondents from at least three significant parties in the PPP project; government, private client and transaction advisor. A sample size of 50 individuals was estimated to be representative of the population of PPP projects given the niche nature of PPP projects in South Africa, but as the sampling was purposive, representativeness may be questionable.

In addition, the literature reviewed as part of the comprehensive literature review mainly considered literature from recent years and literature from highly ranked journals; as a result, analysis or weighting of CSFs may have excluded analyzes from literature not included in the comprehensive literature review. The final list of CSFs which was used in Phase 2 of this research is detailed in Table 8: Comprehensive list of CSFs of the validated PPP project literature. Yes, a seven-point Likert scale was used to rate the degree of importance related to the success of a PPP project.

Note that after the description of the PPP project, CSF indicates the ranking of the number of references to foundational research that supports the relevant GSR for PPP project success.

The perceived importance of CSFs in a developing country

The sample profile showed that government and private sector actors were included, with 64 percent of the sample having six or more years of experience in PPP projects and 58 percent of the sample having completed four or more PPP projects in South Africa. A further more than 50 per cent of the sample had experience of PPP projects outside of South Africa, with experience demonstrated in forty different developing countries and ten different developed countries in Africa, Asia Pacific, Europe and the Americas. The descriptive statistics included in Table 15: The ranked descriptive statistics of the perceived importance of CSFs for PPP projects in South Africa informed the validity of the data.

How do the perceived rankings of PPP project CSFs that inform the institutional environment of a PPP project within a developing country exhibiting political risk compare with that of other CSFs informed by the PPP project success literature. How the perceived rankings of institutional factors by those undertaking PPP projects in a developing country compare with other contexts as identified in previous literature. Statistical results: Ranked perceived importance of literature-informed CSFs for PPP projects in South Africa as a relevant developing country exhibiting political risk.

The CSF describes the institutional environment Ranked perceived importance of CSFs for PPP projects in South Africa. Comparing the relative ranking of the perceived importance of the CSFs from the PPP project in South Africa to the ranking of the CSFs identified in the sample of appropriate academic papers required data transformation. The ranked CSFs for this study were compiled, including the relevant, corresponding CSFs from the scientific articles (see Table 6Table 6: Example of suitable scientific articles on PPP projects).

Statistical results: Comparison of perceived rankings of institutional CSFs among those implementing PPP projects in South Africa versus other contexts.

Table 11: Years of experience on PPP projects  Years of experience  Frequency  Valid  percent
Table 11: Years of experience on PPP projects Years of experience Frequency Valid percent

Discussion of Results

Results of a comparison between the perceived ranking of CSFs for PPP projects in South Africa versus those identified in a sample of academic articles. Thus, we can conclude that reduced political risk is important for PPP projects in developing countries. Positive statistically significant correlation between CSFs for PPP projects in South Africa and China.

I willingly agree to participate in this survey which examines the critical success factors for South Africa's PPP projects. We are interested in your perception of what is currently important for PPP projects in South Africa. Please select the rating that you believe is most representative of PPP projects in South Africa.

A seven-point Likert scale is used to assess the perceived importance of factors in PPP projects in South Africa. What you perceive is the importance of the following 13 technical factors when considering PPP projects in South Africa. What you perceive is the importance of the following seven financial and economic factors when considering PPP projects in South Africa.

What you see is the importance of the following five social factors when considering PPP projects in South Africa. What you see is the importance of the following six political and legal factors when considering PPP projects in South Africa. What you see is the importance of the following five factors when considering PPP projects in South Africa.

Figure  2:  An  illustration  of  the  ranked  perceived  importance  placed  on  PPP  project  CSFs  in  South  Africa,  where  South  Africa  is  a  relevant  sample for developing  countries*
Figure 2: An illustration of the ranked perceived importance placed on PPP project CSFs in South Africa, where South Africa is a relevant sample for developing countries*

Spearman's rank correlation coefficient

Figure

Table 1: Population  of countries with formal PPP frameworks undertaking PPP projects  Region  Country  undertaking
Table  2:  Summary  of  World  Governance  Indicators  for  Brazil,  Netherlands,  South  Africa,  Turkey,  United  Kingdom,  the  United  State  of  America  (World  Bank  Group,  2015b)
Table  4  provide  the  list  of  the  48  South  African  PPP  projects  which  constituted  the  population  of PPP projects
Table  4:  Population  of  active  South  Africa  PPP  projects  (South  African  National  Treasury PPP Unit, 2015)
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